| Component | MWp | 90% low | 90% high |
|---|
| Province | This atlas, Best | Reference | Ratio |
|---|
Data: . Validated = a single (tilt, azimuth) explains ≥ 2 independent spike dates via the specular reflection condition, tolerance 3°. Point size ∝ √(installation area). Hover a point to see which installation it is; click it to open that installation in OpenStreetMap. The CSV download lists every point with its OSM id and coordinates. Full derivation of the glint signal this pose fit is built on: the method page. Annotated Sentinel-2 / high-res examples of what a validated spike actually looks like in the source imagery: the image gallery.
Best estimate: 103,037 MWp, with a 90% range of 83,676–132,969 MWp. The range covers two measured sources of uncertainty, not everything that could move this number. Below: what is inside the range, what is not, and how it compares with other sources.
Inside the range:
Outside the range, and not something more arithmetic can add back:
Treat this as an early estimate from an active research pipeline, not a census. What it offers is a reproducible way to estimate distributed solar from free satellite imagery and open-source models where official statistics are thin or missing. Expect the figures to move as the evidence behind them grows.
Nothing on this page rests on hand-mapped ground truth from this country yet. Two areas have been mapped panel by panel (Gurgaon, Haryana, Purba Champaran, Bihar (farm, no PV)): every panel in it drawn by hand, the ground truth that turns a detection into a capacity estimate by measuring how much of a flagged roof is actually covered in panels and how many real installations the detectors miss. Once a classifier is fitted to them, these figures will rest on them. More such areas are the most useful thing anyone can contribute.
Against India's register, ground-mounted solar sits in the right states and falls about a fifth short. MNRE's state-wise register, republished by MoSPI's eSankhyiki, records 110.6 GW of utility-scale solar on the ground (ground-mounted plants plus the solar part of hybrid plants) at the centre of the imagery window, January 2026. This page's best estimate of ground-mounted solar is about nine tenths of that, and across the 19 states with at least 100 MW registered it ranks them almost exactly as the register does (rank correlation 0.97). The register mostly quotes AC capacity and this page DC, so the real shortfall is nearer a fifth, mostly parks this page does not see: cells never imaged, such as Rewa's, and parks built during the window. Rooftop is the large gap: the register holds 24.3 GW, most of it household systems of a few kW, and this page sees less than a tenth of it.
Layers. "Show" picks the quantity the cells are coloured by: the Best estimate, the OSM-mapped capacity alone, the satellite detections above 400 m², rooftop PV below it, farm ground PV below it (arrays beside fields, where the farm detector has run), or the gap between the Best estimate and what is already mapped, which is where mapping effort pays off most. Each cell shows its total in MWp. The colour scale is logarithmic and is refitted to whichever quantity is shown; the legend always states its range.
Your own data. "Layers" → "Add a layer" overlays a GeoJSON file, a
CSV with latitude/longitude columns, a GeoJSON URL, an XYZ raster tile URL or a WMS
(use {bbox-epsg-3857} in its GetMap URL). Files are read in your browser
and are not uploaded anywhere. The live OpenStreetMap overlay queries the public
Overpass API for the area in view when you zoom in, so it shows mapping done after
this page was built.
Exports. Every figure downloads as PNG (for slides), SVG (vector, for papers) and CSV (the numbers behind it); the map as PNG with its legend and attribution, and the grid as GeoJSON or CSV. Basemap imagery and tiles keep their own providers' terms: OpenStreetMap data is © OpenStreetMap contributors (ODbL), the grey canvas and the satellite imagery © Esri and its partners.
data parameter
to https://overpass-api.de/api/interpreter from a script. The raw-detections
download above predates this page and will go stale as mappers keep editing; this query
always reflects live OSM state.
The capacity per grid cell shown on the map, as CSV. One row per 0.1°
cell, generated in your browser from the data this page is drawing, so it is exactly
the numbers above. lon0/lat0 are the south-west corner of
the cell. The GeoParquet carries the cell polygon in EPSG:4326, so it opens directly
in QGIS or GeoPandas.